UNBC Prof Questions “Alberta Effect”
Prince George, B.C. – A UNBC political science lecturer has thrown cold water on the so-called “Alberta effect.”
The “Alberta effect” is the recent phenomenon which has helped boost polling numbers for the federal NDP following the parties election win in Alberta.
“In many Canadian provinces we tend to be a little schizophrenic with our support so we can go NDP provincially and Conservative federally, and these are the same voters,” says Jason Morris. “So it’s no guarantee that support for say the NDP in Alberta is going to bring big inroads in prairie provinces for the NDP federally.”
However he does think a riding like Cariboo-Prince George may be in play with incumbent Conservative Dick Harris not running again.
“An incumbent name is a tremendous advantage at election day. People may even just vote because they recognize the name,” says Morris. “So while the Conservatives are still strong, all bets aren’t off that there could be an upset.”
He also promises there’s likely plenty of work going on with all the parties behind the scenes as we speak.
“In the Northern ridings, there will be a lot of things going on under the covers or behind the scenes as the parties try to prepare for the election,” says Morris. “There’s a lot of busyness going on that ordinary voters, casual political observers will not even see but how these these things go will greatly matter as to how things turn out in October.”
Comments
A tire salesman . Oh Canada . At least he wasn’t a mailroom boy come prime minister .
The conservatives could put a dead body on the ballot and still win in PG.
A dead body or a guy that actually lives in Kelowna but rents an apartment in pg . At least dicks rent payment stays in pg . Unless its owner also doesn’t live in pg either .
“Through lobbying and international pressures, corporate tax rates have fallen so far that the corporate income tax now represents a small portion of government revenue. Indeed, governments are subsidizing corporations, instead of looking to them for revenue.”
Alberta rejects the Canadian legacy of tax injustice
(Remove the space which is between http and : and put into your computer’s address bar.)
http ://rabble.ca/columnists/2015/05/alberta-rejects-canadian-legacy-tax-injustice
The “Alberta effect” is the recent phenomenon which has helped boost polling numbers for the federal NDP following the parties election win in Alberta.
So the Alberta effect has boosted polling numbers (which is an indication of how people intend vote) for the NDP, but Jason Morris says it will not effect how they will actually vote?
Ummm… yeah, what facts or evidence is Jason basing his “opinion” on? Given the absence of imperical evidence, or facts, suggests this opinion article is nothing more than Conservative propoganda.
Corporations have to collect the taxes they pay from those who consume their products ~ the general public. So the notion that any government can effectively tax corporations is ridiculous. Raising taxes they pay will only result in raising prices we pay, if their goods or services are sold in Canada; or in them becoming increasingly uncompetitive with companies based in lower tax jurisdictions if their products are intended for export. A decrease in corporate competitiveness seems to be contrary to every Party’s current emphasis on job creation.
So you didn’t listen to elizabeth May speak today . If you had Socredible , you would understand how utterly rediculas your opinion is and how little you understand what’s going on . The whole tar sands operation from the ground to the rail , trucking , pipelines and all related industry only makes up 2% of GDP . Small business is 30% of GDP . Stop drinking harper cool aid .
Why would I want to listen to that looped out lush making a bigger fool of herself than she already has, ataloss? If she had even half a functioning brain she’d realise that the ‘green’ world she’s so keen on is completely incompatible with the same policy of ‘full employment’ her Party espouses just like all the other Parties do.
So far as the tar sands go, a good many small businesses in our area of BC, including my own, derive revenue from customers who are, (or were), employed there. And we’re a lot further removed from that area than Prince George is. Many of those people could find work in this area, and would much prefer that to the commute to the tar sands and living in camps there, IF nutty people like your hero hadn’t imposed so many environmental restrictions on just about anything that produces real wealth here to the point of discouraging anyone even making an attempt any more.
CBC Power & Politics’ Ballot Box question: On May 6, 2015 we asked: Will the Alberta election have an impact on national politics?
Here are the results:
– Yes 1195 votes (90%)
– No 110 votes (8%)
– Not sure 27 votes (2%)
I guess Jason Morris is among that massive 8% who don’t think the Alberta election will have any impact on national politics. I count myself as being among the 90% who think the Alberta election will have an impact on national politics. Not to worry Jason, I still look at UNBC as a place of higher learning.
No, Jason Morris is probably one of the 90 + % of us who don’t watch the CBC’s Power & Politics.
Who are you to suggest to us what Jason Morris’s viewing preferences are socredible? My point is; you don’t know if Jason Morris watches CBC’s Power & Politics or not. In the future, perhaps you can post comments that actually live up to your moniker name?
Jason Morris is a cool little dude in a Sally Anne sport coat that gives us useless political commentary. Might be Robbie Van A’s replacement.
I suppose that would be better than CWG Davis.
Socredible . Why would you listen ? Because one of the fundamental rules of any campaign is , know your enemy . Break that rule at your peril. And here i thought you’d been around for a while .
Elizabeth May is real good at inserting foot in mouth lately.
Royalties alone from the oil sands in 2012/2013 was 3.56 billion with a “B”
The energy sector employs over 121,000 people in Alberta
The energy sector (oil, gas and mining) is 22% of Alberta’s GDP – this of course does not count spin offs like restaurants, motels, industrial suppliers, wives spending oil sands money on small business wares, etc.
Oil sands alone accounts for 2% of the entire countries GDP, total extraction and support services for the oil sands are estimated at 6% of Canada’s total GDP. Could be worse for Alberta in the coming months as sections of the oil sands are being shut down to evacuate staff from wildfire dangers. Elizabeth May could see some foot in mouth come sooner than later.
Slinky, perhaps your work, and a few other businesses in Prince George, depends on the continued operations of the Alberta Oil Sands project, yet you, and they, must accept the fact that the fossil fuel industry is a sun set industry, it has no future. What needs to happen is a well-planned, and comfortably phased, gradual transition from fossil fuel energy to renewable energy.
Even Alberta Oil Magazine provides the following advice to students living in Alberta; “While engineers will continue to be in high demand, the requirement for specialized oil and gas professionals like reservoir engineers, drilling engineers and power or steam engineers could conceivably fall relative to the past decade. Endurance Wind, a Surrey, British Columbia-based Wind Company, says broader engineering specializations like mechanical engineering, manufacturing engineering and test engineering could be in higher demand as more wind capacity is brought online. As for the trades, Emery says many are transferable from oil and gas to renewables. He suggests tradespeople earn their Red Seal to give them the ability to apply their skills in various provinces.”
In other words; the need for a gradual, and phased, transition from fossil fuels to renewable energy is possible without the loss of jobs, or loss of net business opportunities. Slinky, renewable energy is here, it is no longer a “cottage industry”, it is the future, and there is no stopping it. Renewable energy will be the dominant energy industry world-wide by the end of the next decade. Why? Because our future existence, as a human species, depends on us reducing global warming causing fossil fuel products!
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