The Pros and Cons of the Low Canadian Dollar
Prince George, B.C. – As is always the case with our falling dollar, there are some positives and negatives that come along with it.
Here’s the breakdown, starting with the positives:
“If you’re an exporter it’s good news,” says University of Northern British Columbia economics professor Dr. Paul Bowles. “If you’re trying to sell tourism packages to American tourists, it’s very cheap for them to come here now, or European tourists.”
He says a low dollar also benefits post-secondary institutions. “International students are finding it quite nice too.”
Then there’s the price at the pump, with Prince George enjoying some of the cheapest gas in the province at around the 80 cents a litre mark.
As for the negatives of a low loonie, one area consumers are noticing it the most is when it comes to the price of food.
In fact a recent study out of Guelph University in Ontario reports a 2% to 4% increase on food prices. See the breakdown below:
Meats – 2.5% to 4.5%
Fish and seafood – 1% to 3%
Dairy and eggs – 0% to 2%
Grains – 0%-2%
Fruits and nuts – 2.5% to 4.5%
Vegetables – 2% to 4%
Food from restaurants – 1.5% to 3.5%
You’ll also notice a jump in prices when you hit the flower shop this coming Valentine’s Day.
“It (falling dollar) really does affect the overall cost because everything if it can’t be grown in greenhouses in Vancouver is imported,” says Monica Peacock, owner of The Inn Flower Place.
“And imports are always more money and are affected by the dollar. It doesn’t mean we’re not going to order in the most beautiful amount that we can for our dollar, it just means that we have to structure our sales to accommodate that 30% difference in the dollar.”
Then there’s the effect it will have on the price of new cars.
“Ultimately over time many vehicles that dealers have on their lots are priced when they buy them in U.S. dollars no matter where they come from and so of course as the Canadian dollar continues to drop you’ll likely see some impact on price of vehicles. It won’t happen right away but as time goes by you’ll see impacts,” said Blair Qualey, president of the New Car Dealers Association earlier this week.
It’s not all doom and gloom though. Ben Klassen, owner of Homesteader Meats, confirms the price of beef is way up, but notes “the prices have been holding pretty steady on the pork and chicken, which people are gravitating too.”
The low dollar has also had an effect on travel.
“We have noticed a trend towards clients booking non-US destinations and in booking more all inclusive resorts which provide more value for our Canadian dollar,” says Sharon Middlehurst with UNIGLOBE travel in Prince George.
As for how long it will take the dollar to recover, Bowles says it’s hard to say.
“What’s driving the Canadian dollar is that Canada is heavily a commodity country, the price of oil goes down, our dollar goes down with it,” he says.
“So when the price of oil was up around $100 dollars a barrel, the loonie was right at par with the U.S. dollar and some times higher than the U.S. dollar, but with the collapse in oil prices comes the collapse of the dollar.
“Over the next six months, we’re not going to see much recovery.”
Comments
Ultimately, the ‘value’ of any country’s currency is what it will BUY in goods and services in that country. So our dollar is lower relative to the US dollar. And we know we’re going to now pay more to travel to the USA. But do we get rooms any cheaper, or meals, when we travel in Canada? No, we pay the same price as before, or maybe even more if bookings are up, and food is imported. We get to sell more of our stuff to the States easier, because the price is lower to American buyers with the exchange rate difference. But we have to pay more for the things we buy from there, including all those ‘things to make things with’ we don’t, or can’t, make here. Personally, I don’t really see where there is any advantage whatsoever in our having a lower dollar. And I doubt very much whether the collapse in the price of oil has got as much to do with it being lower as has been made out. I think currency exchange rates are very highly manipulated, both for the profit of those doing the manipulation, and even more so for the greater enhancement of power in the hands of a financial elite. Seems to me they’ve just held court in Davos, and the newly duly elected bow before them begging permission to not be too hard on us. For want of knowing what else to do.
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