No Quick fix to Economy
By 250 News
Wednesday, November 26, 2008 03:48 AM
Prince George, B.C.- “There are more difficult times ahead in the short term, and yes, we do see some improvement coming later on” says Helmut Pastrick, the Chief Economist for Central 1 Credit Union, but he says it all depends on a return to a normal situation in the financial sector.
The second half of next year is a reasonable estimate of when things will turn around says Pastrick. He says growth will still be slow, but none the less, it will be better than what we see now.
He also says it is possible that over the longer term there might be changes in the way people live, in the manner of reducing to one car, smaller homes “It’s certainly possible in the longer term, these kinds of trends are certainly possible, but the current situation will result in more uncertainty and more savings and potentially less consumption growth.” That means lower retail sales, and reduced housing starts. He says that uncertainty will be around for the next three to five years, and in the ten years after that, other forces will come in to play to make consumers make adjustments in their consumption patterns. He predicts people will make more moves to reduce their footprint, reducing the use of their vehicles, moving to smaller homes, making efforts to reduce energy consumption.
According to Pastrick there will be at least a further three months before equity markets settle out, and by mid year of 2009, the equity market should start to show signs of improvement.
Pastrick was in Prince George last night for an economic discussion with Initiatives Prince George.
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The system is broken because it is not ethically regulated and structured with adequate protections against the personal profit motive of the insiders in positions of trust and power who feel entitled to their share of any manipulated profits they can conjure up. With that being the investment jungle people are asked to invest their paychecks into... most people won't have confidence as long as we have the people who created the problems in the beginning now being tasked with fixing the effects of the problem. It would be better if the government looked to actually fixing the problem and re-establishing the rule of law over the financial sector... but then maybe the political sector is in just as much mud of their own?