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Real Estate Forecast for Improved Sales Late 2009

By 250 News

Tuesday, May 26, 2009 10:50 AM

Prince George, B.C. - Residential sales through the BC Northern Real Estate Board (BCNREB) area are expected to stabilize in 2009, albeit at a lower level than experienced in 2007. BCREA forecasts 2,950 MLS® residential sales in the region this year, down 27 per cent from 2008. However, home sales are expected to improve in the latter part of the year as the economy shows signs of stability, consumer confidence improves and enhanced affordability draws buyers back to the market. At the beginning of April, the carrying cost of the average priced home was 18 per cent less than a year ago.

MLS® residential sales are expected to rebound 9 per cent to 3,200 units in 2010. However, activity will likely reflect levels experienced in the 2001-2002 period. The current buyers’ market is expected to move closer to balance conditions this year, easing any downward pressure on prices. BCNREB’s average MLS® residential price is forecast to decline 9 per cent to $197,000 this year. However, most of the reduction in home prices has already occurred.

The ongoing global recession will continue to be a challenge for northern economies. While the US housing market has shown some signs of stabilization, the current glut of vacant homes will hold-back demand for new construction. Housing starts fell to an annualized rate of 485,000 in April, the lowest on record and 48 per cent below last year. This pull-back in demand has resulted in large declines in sawn lumber production in BC, sawmill closures, and curtailments over the last couple of years. A significant rebound in US housing markets is unlikely to occur before 2010. Meanwhile, the recession has also pushed demand and prices lower for a number of energy and mining related commodities produced in the region impacting local economic prospects.

The Prince George economy has increasingly diversified in recent years, enabling it to better withstand the volatility of commodity markets.


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Comments

More speculation again to fuel a real estate bubble.
Agreed!
yet on global news this morning it was predicted to be down 8%

these prognosticators are just trying to justify the existence of themselves and their industry

It is the treating of residences as a commodity that has put home ownership out of reach of many people.

The only ones that win the realty game are the agents.