Finance Minister Gives Financial Picture
By 250 News
Friday, November 27, 2009 11:50 AM
Victoria - Although B.C.'s economy is beginning to show signs of
improvement, the global economic downturn continues to have a negative
impact and British Columbia continues to face fiscal challenges, Finance
Minister Colin Hansen announced today with the release of the Province's
Second Quarterly Report.
"Several of British Columbia's major economic indicators are beginning to
stabilize following the sharp global economic downturn," said Hansen.
"However, the Province's economic recovery remains subject to a number of
significant risks. Within this challenging environment, government will
continue to protect vital services while we implement economic stimulus and
infrastructure programs and ensure that B.C.'s fiscal plan remains on
target."
Between July and September, major economic indicators such as housing
starts, retail sales, employment, manufacturing shipments, exports and
non-residential building permits have begun to stabilize compared to
late-2008 and early-2009.
Total revenue is projected to be $37.4 billion in 2009-10, a decrease of
$232 million compared to the September Budget Update. The decline in total
revenue is offset by $107 million in lower spending and a $125-million
reduction in the forecast allowance. Total expense is projected to be $40
billion. B.C.'s projected deficit is unchanged from the September Budget
Update and remains at $2.8 billion for 2009-10.
The B.C. government remains committed to its economic stimulus and
infrastructure programs. Since the September Budget Update, an additional
$1 billion in new accelerated infrastructure projects has been approved,
bringing the total commitment to $4.4 billion. To date, British Columbia
has negotiated $811 million in funding from the federal government for
accelerated infrastructure projects. Additional cost-sharing agreements
are expected to be finalized in the coming months.
The Province's taxpayer-supported debt-to-GDP ratio, a key measure of
fiscal sustainability, is projected to be 16.1 per cent by the end of
2009-10, slightly lower than the 16.2 per cent forecast in the September
Budget Update. As recently announced, the Province continues to maintain
its Triple-A credit rating.
Private-sector forecasters now estimate that B.C.'s annual real GDP will
contract by 2.3 per cent in 2009, and then grow by 2.8 per cent in 2010 -
the highest in Canada. However, the Ministry of Finance's September Budget
Update economic forecast continues to be more prudent than the private
sector's, with B.C.'s real GDP forecast to decline by 2.9 per cent in 2009
and then grow by 1.9 per cent in 2010.
In preparation for Budget 2010, the Minister of Finance will meet with
members of the independent Economic Forecast Council in early December to
obtain their views on the economic outlook. A revised five-year economic
forecast will then be developed for Budget 2010.
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