Provincial Budget Options Limited
By 250 News
After meeting with independant financial advisors, the Provincial Minister of Finance, Carole Taylor, says the economic growth forecasts have been lowered.
"British Columbia's economy will continue to outperform the Canadian average and grow at a healthy rate," said Taylor. "But, clearly, there are challenges that are lowering the economic growth forecast for B.C."
The independent Economic Forecast Council has lowered their 2007 to 2012 average economic growth forecasts for British Columbia. The council projects B.C.'s real gross domestic product at 3.1 per cent this year, down from their previous forecast of 3.4 per cent. For 2008, economic growth is expected to average 2.9 per cent, down from 3.3 per cent in their previous survey. Over the medium term, growth is forecast at 2.9 per cent for 2009, and 2.8 per cent for years 2010-2012.
The province is feeling the pressure of the decline in exports, the rising dollar, and declining prices for lumber and natural gas.
"The economic outlook has consequences for our budget decisions," said Taylor. "Most importantly, it confirms why it is so important to be prudent. Because we have been cautious with our forecasts, we will be able to sustain the programs and services British Columbians rely on. But a lower economic forecast will impact our revenue growth, which may limit our budget choices."
Given the significant uncertainty with respect to the U.S. economy and Canadian dollar, the Economic Forecast Council members will have an opportunity to update their forecasts in early January.
The provincial budget will be delivered on February 19th.
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