UNBC Prof Questions “Alberta Effect”
Prince George, B.C. – A UNBC political science lecturer has thrown cold water on the so-called “Alberta effect.”
The “Alberta effect” is the recent phenomenon which has helped boost polling numbers for the federal NDP following the parties election win in Alberta.
“In many Canadian provinces we tend to be a little schizophrenic with our support so we can go NDP provincially and Conservative federally, and these are the same voters,” says Jason Morris. “So it’s no guarantee that support for say the NDP in Alberta is going to bring big inroads in prairie provinces for the NDP federally.”
However he does think a riding like Cariboo-Prince George may be in play with incumbent Conservative Dick Harris not running again.
“An incumbent name is a tremendous advantage at election day. People may even just vote because they recognize the name,” says Morris. “So while the Conservatives are still strong, all bets aren’t off that there could be an upset.”
He also promises there’s likely plenty of work going on with all the parties behind the scenes as we speak.
“In the Northern ridings, there will be a lot of things going on under the covers or behind the scenes as the parties try to prepare for the election,” says Morris. “There’s a lot of busyness going on that ordinary voters, casual political observers will not even see but how these these things go will greatly matter as to how things turn out in October.”