Fall is Here
Falling leaves, low water level in the Nechako, mark the season – photo250News
Prince George, B.C.- Although it may seem like fall has been with us since mid August, autumn officially arrived in Prince George at 1:22 this morning.
The Autumnal Equinox is the time when day and night are each about 12 hours long (although in the Northern Hemisphere, the actual time of equal day and night happens a few days later).
Environment Canada Meteorologist for the BC Interior, Doug Lundquist says it’s a little difficult to predict how this transition season from Summer to Winter is going to shape up “We’re in a bit of a cool pattern now, so it’s swinging between average ( temperatures) to cooler than average. But in the longer term, as we approach winter, it will become more and more clear that we are really likely to have a warmer than average winter.”
And that’s because of the effects of El Nino, the large body of warm water in the Pacific, ” It usually results in a warmer than average winter and this one ( El Nino) is particularly strong.”
So does warmer than average mean heavy wet snow? “More than likely” says Lundquist, “We often hover around the zero mark for much of early winter, so it’s more likely that any precipitation we would get would be in the form of wet snow or rain, more than usual for the winter. But the amount of precipitation in this kind of pattern is really difficult to forecast often the storm systems move through the northern part of the Province and clip the Prince George area, so it’s just a matter of whether the storm gets Mackenzie or further north more, or slips its way down to Prince George, so the amount of precipitation is hard to forecast, but certainly the temperature regime is looking very mild.”
August was a little cooler than average, with the average temperature last month being 14.2 degrees, when the normal average is 15. As for rainfall, it may have seemed like August was overly wet, but the average is 52 mm of rain during August, and Prince George received 45mm last month.
So the bottom line is cooler than normal for October and early November, but Lundquist says usually in an El Nino winter the effects of El Nino really kick in by Christmas, but there is a twist, says Lundquist, as El Nino started much earlier this year “So I’m wondering if perhaps we will get into that mild pattern sooner, perhaps as early as November or early December.”