Tories Gaining Ground in B.C. – Poll
Prince George, B.C. – A new poll by Insights West shows the Tories are gaining ground on the front running NDP in the province of British Columbia.
The online survey shows if a federal election were to be held today, 34% of voters would support the NDP in their constituency (-7% since a similar poll last month) 28% would support the Conservatives (+6), the Liberals with 26% (+2) and the Green Party with 11% (-1).
Interestingly, more than a third of decided voters (35%) say they could change their mind and support another party’s candidate on election day.
The NDP is particularly popular with woman (39%) and residents aged 18-34 (42%) while the Conservatives are the top choice for men (33%) and residents aged 55 and over (37%).
The Liberals and NDP are practically tied among middle-aged voters (32% and 31% respectively).
“The Conservatives have definitely improved their standing in British Columbia and their voters remain extremely committed,” says Mario Canseco, Vice President, Public Affairs, at Insights West. “The New Democrats are also attracting a large proportion of voters who are unlikely to change their mind.”
But when it comes to approval ratings, NDP leader Tom Mulcair leads the pack with 60% (+5 since August), followed by Green Party leader Elizabeth May (53%, +1) and Liberal Party leader Justin Trudeau (51%,).
While the numbers for Prime Minister and Conservative Party leader Stephen Harper improved (from 28% last month to 32% in September), they are still the lowest among the four main leaders.
The results of this poll were based on an online study from September 18-21 among 1,003 adult British Columbians.
Comments
The strange thing about a voluntary poll is that it can self-select. Cbc’s poll tracker (Eric Grenier) puts the cons down 2.8% in B.C. It is IMHO a much broader more valid analysis of valid, non party-backed polls.
The cuts planned to Healthcare by the Tories are in the area of 3 billion. Another term of Harper Conservatives will be very devastating to the current stressed Healthcare system. I am voting for preservation of a good health care system.
Polls mean nothing.. the only time they are used is by the front runner at the time.. I am sure we all remember the polls all showing the NDP winning in BC.. and instead we got whats her face again.
ya we got whats her face. Majority rules turd.
very scientific. hahaha. I love it. “polls” are good for two things, fishing and strippers. have had the chance a couple times to answer polling questions and I gave the exact opposite opinion than I had, so I never trust them.
I am among the “anyone but Harper” voters.
Muzzling the government scientists and pushing through the misnamed Navigation Protection Act, which removed federal protection for almost all our waterways, means to me, Harper has to go. I’m sure the Energy pipeline companies have pumped large amounts of cash into the Conservative campaign and we’ll be bombarded with Conservative ads in the next three weeks. I hope others agree that it’s time for a change.
If we do not vote Bob Zimmer back in we will save taxpayers about $120,000.00 plus per year on his gold plated pension plan.
The only poll that matters is the one on Election Day. My guess is still that the Conservatives will go back in with a small majority. The big question then will be how long the ‘third man on the totem pole’ gets to keep his job. If it’s Mulcair, likely not long. Trudeau might fare a bit better, there’s no obvious replacements in the Liberal leadership talent pool.
Don’t forget in the last provincial election in British Columbia the polls had the NDP in the lead by a landslide. However on Election Day the voter proved exactly the opposite with a liberal win. What kind of credence can we ascertain from these polls? The truth comes when we are all done casting our ballots. Until then there is only guessing and no certainty.
Karrman:” I hope others agree that it’s time for a change.”
This poll has Harper at 28% which leaves the remaining 72% that want change! Other more in-depth polls have Harper at about 30% with the other 70% desiring change.
Because of the way ridings are laid out, previous voting patterns plus the Liberals and the NDP splitting votes it is entirely possible that Harper may end up with a small majority by getting about 28% support, meaning he can continue his rule with more than two thirds of the voters not supporting his party!
Oh election time is so very interesting with all the backside drivers all pulling on the steering wheel at the same time in different directions. The face is Harper has tried to run this country like his own personal play ground. Doing his best to undermine real Canadian values and stamping on those that appose him. His treatment towards our court system our men and women that really gave their heart and all to often life to protect us from tyrants. His actions are shameful and despicable.
(Sept. 21, 2015)
A full list of all the promises made so far in the Canadian election campaign
http://news.nationalpost.com/news/canada/canadian-politics/a-full-list-of-all-the-promises-made-so-far-in-the-canadian-election-campaign
Prince George wrote:- “Because of the way ridings are laid out, previous voting patterns plus the Liberals and the NDP splitting votes it is entirely possible that Harper may end up with a small majority by getting about 28% support, meaning he can continue his rule with more than two thirds of the voters not supporting his party! ”
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That’s just the way the system works. There’s no evidence of which I’m aware that indicates people in countries that have a different voting system are any more satisfied with the governments they elect than we are with ours. Even in countries that have gone to some kind of proportional representation. The fundamental problem is that you really can’t ever have effective ‘political’ democracy until you first have an ‘economic’ democracy. And we don’t have that.
You are just guessing about the general satisfaction level in other democracies like Sweden, Norway and Switzerland for example. Also, even in our own Canada the level of perceived satisfaction by the general public keeps changing together with how calm or stressed various aspects of economics, employment opportunities, finances etc are.
Perhaps the worst scenario is a country where you have neither economic nor political democracy. Or where you have a measure of economic democracy and the measure of political democracy is being eroded. That, I believe, is the problem now. We must not allow that to happen.
I’m not guessing about that in other democracies like the USA, Australia, New Zealand, or Ireland, Prince George. I’ve communicated with people in all those countries, and they tell me people there are no more satisfied in general with whom they’ve elected either, even though their electoral systems differ from ours. Americans elected Barack Obama twice, not because they were particularly enthralled with him, but because they viewed the alternative choices as worse. Australians haven’t been happy with their previous Labour government, turfed it, and they’re far from enthusiastic about the right of centre alternative that’s replaced it. And they force everyone to vote down there, or pay a fine. New Zealand has long had a unicameral Parliament, and has their own form of proportional representation, (Mixed Member Proportional). But their government is busy with a ‘smokescreen’ issue, trying to change their flag from the one that’s long been recognised world wide as theirs to something contrived by some politicians who can’t solve any of their other more pressing issues. We went through that, once, too. As for Ireland, they’ve had their own financial crisis, and have gone from one of Europe’s star performing economies as reflected by ever rising prices for just about everything, with work for all, to a basket case of a still rising cost of living, only now with faltering employment and economic prospects. And they have a proportional representation set-up, too ~ STV, I believe.
Prince George:-“Perhaps the worst scenario is a country where you have neither economic nor political democracy. Or where you have a measure of economic democracy and the measure of political democracy is being eroded. That, I believe, is the problem now. We must not allow that to happen.”
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Best to re-elect Harper and the Conservatives then. With the other two alternatives there’ll be a far faster ‘erosion’ of both. Hope we don’t have to find that out the hard way.
Karrman the scientists are no more muzzled they any other government department or private company.
Protection of the water ways is still with the provinces, the feds only removed costly duplicate red tape.
how much have the huge green blob pumped into the left?
seamutt….. “the scientists are no more muzzled they any other government department or private company.”
I think that you’re wrong on this one. Harper started putting the clamp on them after he got elected in 2006.
One of my buddies who works for the BC prov. gov’t told me there is no more sharing of info from his federal counterparts.
http://www.cbc.ca/m/touch/news/story/1.3078587
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