Never Mind the Groundhog
Prince George, B.C. – No matter what any one of the numerous weather predicting groundhogs may have to say today, Environment Canada is predicting the balance of the winter will be mild.
Environment Canada Meteorologist Matt MacDonald says while the mild weather brought on by a Pineapple Express last week is over. The warm air that was coming our way courtesy the Pineapple express has shifted.
“The air mass that is coming our way is coming in from the west, or even a little bit of north westerly, the further the circulation tweaks up towards the northwest, well then we are getting a little bit more Siberian air as opposed to Hawaiian air.”
Although there were some very warm temps last week, hitting 7.1 degrees on Thursday, that was shy of the 8.9 record for January 28th which was set in 1976.
As for predictions on the next three months for Prince George, MacDonald says El Nino remains strong, and that should mean warmer than normal temperatures “The fact it is the strongest El Nino on record with records going back to 1950, I think November and December people were wondering where is El Nino? But that was actually fairly typical, the effects of El Nino usually only show their face come mid January and that’s exactly what we saw this year, it was right on time.”
He says despite the slight dip in temperatures over this week, which will see P.G. back below seasonal normal temps, warmer than normal conditions are expected to return.
“What we can say with the most confidence is that there is a high probability of warmer than normal conditions, so a mild rest of winter” but MacDonald isn’t so confident on predicting what the future holds in the way of precipitation. “I think any meteorologist worth their weight will be the first to admit that forecasting precipitation over a week is damn near impossible”. But previous strong El Nino conditions have produced wetter than normal conditions. He says with a strong El Nino its likely that precipitation will come in the form of rain.
Comments
god bless el nino
Given the track record for long range forecasting by meteorologists, I am thinking the little rodent has some credibility! At least if the grounghog is wrong and we get annoyed by it’s mistaken forecast…. we could eat it. Not much we can do about bad meteorologists.
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