The $800 Billion Dollar Gorilla in Canada’s Living Room
By Peter Ewart
Friday, October 10, 2008 03:45 AM
By Peter Ewart

Everyone knows that there is a world wide credit freeze – the big financial institutions are refusing to lend money to each other, as well as to clients. This deep freeze is threatening the very structure of the world financial system. Governments have been lobbing hundreds of billions of dollars of taxpayer’s money at these banks for some time now, yet they still won’t budge.
In addition, in Canada, we keep getting told by the Prime Minister and other top government officials that the “fundamentals” of the Canadian financial sector are solid, that our banking sector is different from the U.S. one, and that Canadians have no cause for alarm.
So, if everything is so rosy, why won’t the banks lend to each other? “Well,” some analysts say, “there is a lot of fear in the air.” But beyond making a few vague generalities about “trust”, they don’t explain very much.
The question arises then - Why are these big financial institutions in Canada and other countries afraid to engage in what is usually considered normal banking behaviour? One would assume that with all their economic and political power, as well as their access to and influence over government leaders, they would be like superman and not be afraid of anything.
But in the case of Canada the answer isn’t too far away. Sitting there in our financial “living room,” munching on a bowl of popcorn, is a huge $800 billion gorilla and carved into his chest in big letters is the term “credit default swaps.”
What in hell’s name is a “credit default swap” and why is this big gorilla sitting in our living room? A “credit default swap” is a kind of unregulated insurance policy between two or more parties that is used for bonds, corporate loans and other investments. It is one of the “new” financial instruments that were developed in the last few years that fit into that strange and murky category of financial flim flammery called “derivatives.”
And, yes, these financial instruments are very closely connected to the bad mortgages and toxic securities that brought down the U.S. investment bank sector. In fact, among other more legitimate things, they were used as a kind of “bet” or “hedge” for these “dodgy” investments, playing a big role in facilitating their spread throughout the world.
Banks around the world hold an estimated $60 trillion of these “credit default swaps.” In the case of Canada, the big banks hold an estimated $800 billion, hence the $800 billion gorilla in the Canadian living room.
Now that is a big sum of money. For example, by way of comparison, the $800 billion is not far away from matching Canada’s entire gross domestic product (GDP) for 2007 of $1.27 trillion.
How much is each big bank holding? The Royal Bank of Canada has about $300 billion, “an amount many times greater than the entire value of Canada’s largest bank.” The Toronto-Dominion Bank is estimated to have $197 billion; Bank of Montreal - $118 billion; Bank of Nova Scotia - $110 billion; and CIBC - $86 billion. (Source: “Financial Post, Sept. 17, 2008).
As Dr. Ellen Brown, author of “Web of Debt,” points out, “When the smartest guys in the room designed their credit default swaps, they forgot to ask one thing – what if the parties on the other side of the bet don’t have the money to pay up.” Right now, around the world, banks are collapsing, and many corporations are going on life support. Money is drying up everywhere. Like insurance policies, some credit fault defaults are coming due.
In Canada and around the world, each bank is afraid that the other banks have these same big gorillas in their “living rooms.” Indeed, they are all deathly afraid that these gorillas will throw away their TV remotes and bowls of popcorn, stand up, and start beating their chests like drums, all the while roaring: “Feed me! Feed me!”
The material I am presenting here is not meant to cause alarm. Many of the credit fault defaults may not go bad, but we don’t know. However, Canadians deserve to know these things, and our political and financial leaders are doing us a big disservice when they do not educate us about that big hairy gorilla squatting right there in front of us in our living room.
Peter Ewart is a writer, educator and community activist based in Prince George, BC. He can be reached at: peter.ewart@shaw.ca
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But it does, doesn't it. Perhaps you can write a meaningful article sometime about the effect of the internet and seamless global communications on the "panic" dumping of stocks. One can follow the stocks around the world 24 hours a day and no one knows who is leading anymore, Asia, Europe, or North America.