Clear Full Forecast

Canfor President Cautious About Future

By 250 News

Friday, July 31, 2009 08:51 AM

Prince George, BC.- Although Canfor recorded a  profit of $10.5 million dollars in the second quarter  Canfor President and CEO Jim Shepard is not expressing optimism that the troubles facing the lumber industry are over “I wish I could say this is an operating profit, but I can’t. What we have is an accounting profit.”
During the second quarter conference call this morning, Shepard told investors that despite the Bank of Canada’s declaration that the recession is over, he believes there is still an uncertain road ahead “We are operating at 50% of lumber capacity, this statistic alone should be a good indication of where the market stands.”
Shepard says the adjustable rate mortgages in the U.S. are about to come due, and he is concerned that will further intensify the economic storm. He offered praise to all employees, contractors and suppliers for their willingness to help reduce costs. He also offered praise for all in Mackenzie who worked to bring back one shift at the mill there, and to the Clear Lake sawmill employees for their voluntary wage cuts “These are people who are intimately aware of the hardships and wanted to be part of the solution.”
 “I am not a fan of making predictions.  As Warren Buffet recently stated, the economic turn around is coming, he just doesn’t know when. If Warren Buffet doesn’t know, then I sure don’t. Therefore, Canfor will continue with its focus on cash conservation and cost reduction opportunities. But we can take heart in the fact that our company has become very lean and efficient through the committed effort of all of our employees.”

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Comments

He hasn't got a clue by saying the recession is over. Look to the states. What happens there affects Canada. A sign of a healthy economy is a stable real estate industry and it is by no means over. The US economy is still sick and Canada will catch the cold.
Clearly these are very challenging and historical times for Canfor. They have lost a tremendous amount of money in the last couple of years. I think this is the worst possible time for Canfor's unionized employees to be negotiating a new contract.

"Sales of new single-family homes in the U.S. rose 11% in June from the month before, as buyers responded to price cuts and tax credits meant to clear the still-massive backlog of unsold homes."

"June's sales total was the lowest for the month since 1982 and was 21% below that of the same month last year, U.S. Census Bureau data showed.

The seasonally adjusted annual rate for new-home sales in June was 388,000, the Census Bureau said.

If that sales pace holds, 2009 will be the worst year for new-home sales since the bureau began tracking them in 1963. Last year's new-home sales total of 485,000 was the lowest since 1982.

The median new-home sales price in June fell to $206,600 from May's median as builders slashed prices to clear glutted inventories. The June median price was down 12% from $234,300 in June 2008.

New homes sold in June had been on the market a median of one year since construction was completed, compared with eight months in June 2008."

http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-home-sales28-2009jul28,0,1483191.story

http://dailyreckoning.com/showdown-with-the-bond-vigilantes/

http://www.dailyreckoning.co.uk/economic-forecasts/america-depression-stimulus-99871.aspx