Clear Full Forecast

On the Boundaries Commission Report

By Peter Ewart

Thursday, August 30, 2007 03:50 AM

  Part 1 – “Arbitrary Recommendations that disenfranchise the North”

By Peter Ewart and Dawn Hemingway

The Electoral Boundaries Commission, chaired by Justice Bruce Cohen, has issued its preliminary report, and people in the North and other rural areas are understandably not happy.  Among other things, the report recommends reducing the number of MLAs by 3 in the North and Interior of the province, and increasing the number in the Lower Mainland by 4 and in the Okanagan by 1. 

Feelings are running high in the North against the recommendations of the report to the extent that the Mayor and Council of Prince George have called for a rally at 5pm on September 5th at the Civic Centre Plaza to be held prior to the Commission’s hearings.

In this series of articles, we will be discussing various aspects of the Commission’s Report and presenting reasons as to why people in the North and other areas of the province should seriously consider rejecting it. 

Now, it should be said from the onset that setting provincial electoral boundaries is a highly political act.  There is no doubt about it.  Given the varied terrains, climates, and histories that make up the province of British Columbia, such a task is both complicated and complex.  But one thing is clear: the Commissioners on the Electoral Boundaries Commission have a lot of latitude and leeway.  And, as a result, there is also a lot of room for arbitrariness, bias, prejudice, and yes, politics.

As John Courtney, a professor in the Department of Political Studies at the University of Saskatchewan, has put it:  “the principal difficulty that [electoral] commissioners have” in determining “communities of interest” and electoral boundaries is “the absence of objective standards” and the fact that “the matter is reduced largely to making an informed, subjective judgment.”

For example, in British Columbia, in the past, some Electoral Boundaries Commissions have recommended increasing the representation in the North, and other Commissions have recommended decreasing it, depending on their point of view and criteria. 

Thus, in 1965, the Angus Commission, which some might say had a pronounced Lower Mainland bias, proposed that the Northern ridings be reduced “from seven electoral districts to five” and that the Lower Mainland ridings be increased from 19 to 27.  Strangely, this recommendation was made at a time when the North and other parts of the Interior were coming into their own, the population was increasing, and people were flocking to towns like Prince George from all over Canada.  Luckily for the North, the provincial Legislature overruled the Commission and rejected the proposal to eliminate seats in the North. 

On the other hand, the Eckardt Commission of 1978, proposed that representation in the North be increased by one, which the Legislature eventually supported.  Likewise, in 1982, the Warren Commission recommended, among other things, that a “second MLA” be added to one riding in the Cariboo region and one riding in the North.  This time, however, the Legislature ended up not supporting the Commission’s proposal.

Both the Fisher Commission (1988) and the Wood Commission (1999) proposed to neither increase or decrease the number of MLAs in the North, although both recommended increasing the number of Lower Mainland MLAs. 

And then we come to the present Commission, headed by Justice Bruce Cohen, which advocates the elimination of one riding in each of the North, Cariboo-Thompson, and Columbia-Kootenay regions, and the addition of four ridings to the Lower Mainland and one to the Okanagan region.

Historically, each of these Commissions has used its own criteria and points of emphasis in determining electoral districts.  But often, these criteria and points of emphasis differ significantly.  And this is immediately evident when we look at the summaries of the various commissions presented in the current commission’s Preliminary Report. 

The ideal number of people each MLA should represent in the BC Legislature is determined by what is called the “provincial electoral quotient” which is calculated “by dividing the provincial population” by the numbers of MLAs. Under the current First Past the Post system, this quotient stands at 52,069 people per MLA, but historically the number of people in some ridings has deviated significantly from the quotient, either less or more. 

For example, according to the Report, the Eckhart Commission of 1978 allowed “significant deviations from the electoral quotient, ranging from minus 88% for Atlin to plus 85% for Richmond.” 

However, the Fisher Commission of 1988 proposed “no more than a 25% deviation” from the quotient, except in “very special circumstances.”

In addition, while the Wood Commission of 1999 allowed “six of 79 electoral districts (5 of which were in the North) to exceed the “minus 25% deviation”, the current Cohen Commission takes a much more narrow approach and, if the First Past the Post system is kept, allows only 2 districts (North Coast and Northland) to exceed it.

These examples show that the findings of an electoral boundaries commission can be arbitrary and subjective to a significant degree and dependent upon the particular interpretation and point of view of the commissioners who sit on it.  If there had been different commissioners, the recommendations could have been quite different as well..  With this degree of arbitrariness, governments must tread very carefully about adopting the findings of any boundary commission. 

Now, it could be argued that we got these particular commissioners simply because that was the way the “dice rolled.”  But the fact of the matter is they were appointed by the provincial government and approved by the provincial legislature (both of which are dominated by representatives from the Lower Mainland).  Perhaps not surprisingly, all of the current Commission members are from the Southern part of the province.  And all appear to have a point of view that is not favourable to maintaining current levels of Northern and rural representation in the Legislature.

These controversial findings of the Commission’s preliminary report could not have come at a worse time.  In less than two years, British Columbians will be voting again in a referendum on whether to keep the existing First Past the Post electoral system or to adopt the Single Transferable Vote system as proposed by the Citizens’ Assembly.  One of the reasons why we are voting again is that, during the first referendum, a lot of people were confused about the differences between the two systems and how ridings would be laid out, because practically no funding was provided for voter education.  Now we have the current Boundary Commission’s recommendations to add to the confusion and controversy by further disenfranchising citizens living in the wealth-contributing Northern and rural parts of the province.

Stay tuned for Part 2 in this series of articles.
Peter Ewart is a college instructor and Dawn Hemingway is a university professor.  Both live in Prince George and can be reached at: peter.ewart@shaw.ca

Previous Story - Next Story



Return to Home
NetBistro

Comments

Justice Bruce Cohen wrote under Part 5 'Effective Representation' and 'Very Special Circumstances' the following:

"ur interpretation of our mandate leads us to conclude that no region of the province has an automatic entitlement to the 'very special circumstances' status for some or all of its electoral districts.

Neither do we believe that it would be appropriate for us to begin our boundary setting task with a presumption that each region of the provicne should be guaranteed its current level of representation.

The Legislative Assembly could have made that our mandate - but it did not.

Rather, we are governed by the overriding constitutional and legal requirement to strive for relative parity of voting power among electoral districts, and to deviate from parity only to the extent necisary to ensure effective representation."

------------------

There you have it folks Justice Bruce Cohen makes no bones about it that he feels if the North was to have representation it would have been directed by the legislature to do so, but was not, so his interpretation is for population monopoly through majority rules.

The legislature is represented by the 2 party system that has an interest buying majority urban votes at rural BC's expense. Its how they plan to hold power and subvert the BCSTV through redistribution of power before BCSTV is implimented.

IMO it is an assult on our democracy in rural BC by the 2-established parties that approved this Electoral Boundaries Commission, both the liberals and the ndp.
Wake up and smell the coffee! The population of the ara has dropped. You can call it all kinds of funnuy names (quotient) but it will aways be "representation by population" which is fair enough.

Start skewing it around and heaven knows where we will end up. Its like the notion that STV will solve all our problems. Theres nothing like democracy. Get off your butt and support the party of your choice at election time and when they sit in the legislature.

We live in this dream world were we think the next guy will do it for us. It doesnt work that way.

Cheers
Sorry Bridge,but supporting the party of your choice is a waste of time.
If your lucky enough to have the "party of your choice" in power, they MIGHT remember you exist at election time.
Other than that,you will be ignored and they will march to the sound of their own drum.
If the party of your choice is NOT in power,good luck with that.
They might as well not even bother showing up in the legislature because they will accomplish nothing!
The B.C. Liberals have the attitude that if you don't support us,we will give you nothing.
STV IS a much better way than the farce we are calling politics now.
It would also enable us to get rid of the losers we get stuck with who accomplish nothing during their term in office,and god knows.there is enough of them!
STV is a joke. The problem is most people miss the punch line. We have enough trouble getting people to vote now, without making the voting more complicated. 1,2,3,4,5th choice, what a bunch of crap. At the end of the day if you use other Countries who have STV or some semblence of it you will find more times than not, that they have minority Governments, who sit around and negotiate with each other. At the end of the day it is the Citizens that get screwed. It all comes down to how your candidate is chosen, and it matters little what party he represents, because it is at this level, that any suggestion of a democracy is out the window.

Example:

Nomination meeting of (Say) NDP Prince George.

Candidate (1) 150 Votes
Candidate (2) 90 Votes
Candidate (3) 85 Votes.

Winner Candiadte (1) But he had 175 members who voted against him. So more members of his party were against but he becomes the Candidate, and runs in the election.

Election day.

NDP
Election Day.

NDP 5000 Votes
Liberals 4000 Votes
Green 2000 Votes
Other 500 Votes.

NDP elected with 5000 Votes while 6500 voters didnts support him/her.

Liberals win election and NDP sits in opposition with no authority or power, but represents 12,500 Voters. Democracy??
Bla bla vlbla... hypothetic this…

Example:
Hypothetically let’s just say the federal politicians were running under the BCSTV rules and boundaries pre-theft-of-a-voting-seat.

So you have four seats up for grabs in this region:
The Liberals run 4 candidates.
The NDP runs 4 candidates.
The Conservatives run 4 candidates.
The Greens run 4 candidates.
Independents have 4 credible candidates.

The voter has 20 credible candidates with an option of four candidates for each party after one of the 4 seats up for grabs. Each candidate need their own majority (50%+1) to be elected. The voter can use their 1st, 2nd, 3rd, & 4th picks, which could all be partisan or otherwise.

Maybe its a zealot party the voter likes that has a ceiling at 30% of hard core support and therefore has no right to elected office, because even with 2nd, 3rd, and 4th picks they could never get a majority with a majority of people needed to vote for anyone of that parties candidates as a valid voice for their views.

Lets say hypothetically, the voter says he likes conservatives, but none of the conservatives are actual conservatives accept for Jim Two Boots. Dick Harris is the guy the conservatives always made us vote for before, when the conservative voter wanted to vote conservative, but only had a single choice: vote Dick Harris, or don’t vote at all.

Under BCSTV the voter goes in and opts not to pick Dick Harris, because they feel he does not represent their views, or does not bring home the bacon, or for what ever other reason. Instead the voter picks Two Boots (the conservative that got in through populism) and a couple of independents that were actually real conservatives, and then a good ndp and even on a stretch a well meaning green.

The informed voter (the one that counts) feels represented by giving his vote proportionality and strategic voting power on the ballot to weed out the drifters and empire builders.

In the end Two Boots gets everyone’s second vote for the highest majority overall and the elected looks something like this:
Two Boots (conservative) - Elected
Heather Houston (conserv) – Elected (Dicks really pissed about this one)
Good Guy pit bull (ndp) - Elected
Well Meaning Gal (Independent) - Elected

The voter in their wisdom saw no use for electing in a majority opportunistic liberals, or the big brother conservatives, or the hypocritical ndp, or the extremist and unrealistic green, or even the rich deep pocket independent.

Everyone agrees the best candidates won and everyone’s voice is represented and everyone accept for Pila(dickharris)po is happy.

The End
Take that great example of voter empowerment above and do what the BC Electoral Boundaries Commission was asked to do by our 2-parties in power.

Remove 2 seats and run the scenario as a 2 seat BCSTV riding.

You will see that it no longer works properly as intended and insteed of empowering citizens it empowers the 2-parties of power through their monoploy on those two seats spliting the difference most likely meaning they no longer have to campaign for northern seats and we will be nothing but beggers of the 2-party power structure based out of the Vancouver Empire club.
Bridge gets my vote.

May the first one that makes it over the finish line be the winner who takes all!

It's not perfect, but neither is STV or any other manipulative scheme.

Those who feel that they have no representation can go out and work harder to get more voters to vote for the party that they themselves support!

Have a superior more attractive platform and be more honest, dedicated and reliable and prove that once they are in power politicians may indeed keep all the promises they made to get elected.

Do the above and you will be re-elected over and over in spite of not having STV or any other scheme as a crutch.

This, Chad, is my *Bla bla vlbla...* contribution for today!

Cheers!




I agree 100% with diplomat.
So Diplomat and Bridge and Palopu all support government majorities with as little as 38% of public support, rather than government where every elected official required at least 50% support from their constituents?

Thats not democracy IMO, but rather a system to be manipulated for political power. IE start a 2nd left or 2nd right party to divide the vote and elect a left or right party with a minority of the vote (smaller than the other two combined), just a larger minority then the other minority parties individually. Its a classic example why people don't believe in our democracy today and thus don't turn out to vote.
Diplomat that is not even majority rules as you claim it is.
Chad, calm down, first of all. Then, show me where I have used the words "majority rules" if you can find them here.

You have me confused with someone else.

Next, explain to me how the performance of politicians is going to be improved by STV or any other proportional voting scheme.

We have three MLAs here and our concerns are barely being addressed. Take one away - what difference is it going to make? Our concerns will still be barely addressed.

With the previous government one of our MLAs was the Minister of Highways. Did that make a difference to the condition of our highways here, even though we complained vigorously about the deplorably poor condition?

No, not at all. Our needs were largely ignored.

Now, perhaps if B.C. had been endowed with recall legislation that had real teeth in it, instead of the toothless wonder that the NDP enacted - well, then we could start using it to recall those who we think of as being unworthy non-performers.

People don't turn out to vote for many reasons, most of them I suspect are just plain disenchanted.

Start a recall campaign if you don't like what is going on.

Cheers!