I have long thought that it might come as early as June for a number of reasons.

Every day that passes gives the Liberals more time to lick their wounds, gird up their loins. sharpen their swords and offer an alternative to Harper and the Tories. This is being helped along by scandals in the Tory camp which, while nothing compared to those which plagued the last Liberal government, provide the Liberals the ability to say to voters “there’s your hypocritical Tories for you, the pots calling the Kettles black!”

The more time passes, the better chance the Liberals have of revitalizing their traditional support in Ontario and Quebec. The Harper government has brutally smacked the Ontario government around and even in central thinking Ontario voters tend to side with provincial governments against slings and arrows from Ottawa. As far as Quebec is concerned it can only get better with time.

British Columbia is always tough to get a handle on and has been Tory territory for some time. The fact is that BC doesn’t matter that much to a Stephen Harper who knows that while winning Quebec and Ontario often pisses off British Columbians, it’s worth the price.

I wet the finger, put it into the political wind and sense an election close at hand. On the other hand, when I’m predicting elections I’d be just as successful checking out a roosters entrails so when the question is asked, I will just say,  “well, er, who knows about these things but I think it might."